WhatIfSports 2014 NFL Week 5 Predictions

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including each team's chance of winning, average score and comprehensive box score.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2014 NFL season.

Check out our 2014 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

Game of the Week: Cardinals at Broncos

The Arizona Cardinals and Denver Broncos enter Week 5 in unexpected circumstances. Following the losses of playmakers like Daryl Washington and Darnell Dockett, few expected the Cardinals to remain relevant in the highly-competitive NFC West. This sentiment was especially true following Carson Palmer suffering nerve damage in his shoulder and neck. Yet, after notching impressive wins against the Chargers, Giants and 49ers, the Cardinals are just one of two remaining undefeated teams and surprisingly sit atop their division.

The Broncos are also in foreign territory, albeit not a favored one. With San Diego's win yesterday during Denver's bye, the Orange Crush are now in second in the AFC West. Granted, the season is still in its infancy, yet with a strong showing out of the gate, the Chargers are proving themselves as a playoff contender. Needing a victory to keep pace, the Broncos welcome the Cards to Mile High for the WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

Denver is 2-1, and there's certainly no shame in losing to the Seahawks in overtime. However, not all is right with the Broncos. The vaunted offense, one that shattered the record books in 2013, ranks 23rd in total output heading into October. Most of these struggles arise from the rushing attack, which is averaging a meager 3.2 yards per carry (29th in the league) and is putting up just 75 yards per contest. Worse, the resistance, one that retooled with acquisitions of DeMarcus Ware, Aqib Talib and T.J. Ward, has fallen well short of expectations, surrendering 390 yards of offense per game (27th in the NFL). For a team that was the conference favorite, the Broncos have shown they are far from a well-rounded squad.

Not that it's all gloom in the Rockies. The passing assault should get a boost with Wes Welker slowly working himself back in the lineup following a concussion/suspension. Moreover, Julius Thomas has elevated his receiving prowess, transforming into one of the most dangerous red-zone targets in the league with five touchdowns through three games. If second-year back Montee Ball can carve out room to roam, the Broncos will regain their nightmarish reputation.

Looking to put the kibosh on the Broncos' blitzkrieg is a stout Cardinals defense. Aside from All-Pro performer Patrick Peterson, this Arizona unit lacks household names. Yet opposing offensives are discovering quickly that this is a group not to be trifled with, conceding a conference-low 15 points per contest. This dominance starts in the trenches, with the front seven holding rushers to only 2.9 yards per carry. Given that the Cards have taken on respectable field generals in Philip Rivers, Eli Manning and Colin Kaepernick, its production not to overlook.

Speaking of the quarterback position, Arizona is dealing with its own sense of ambiguity under center. Mentioned above, Palmer has been nursing a shoulder issue the past three weeks, leading to journeyman Drew Stanton logging two starts. Though Stanton has turned in commendable appearances, his career numbers don't paint a pretty picture for continued success. For the Cardinals to be a legitimate threat in the NFC, the team desperately needs Palmer back in the saddle.

So who emerges from Denver victorious? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com football simulation engine, the Broncos come out on top 51.1 percent of the time by an average margin of 25-24. For the rest of this week's projections, check below:

NFL Week 5 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
St. Louis Rams 21.4 20 Boxscore
Philadelphia Eagles 78.6 31 Simulate Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24.9 23 Boxscore
New Orleans Saints 75.1 32 Simulate Game
Minnesota Vikings 31.2 20 Boxscore
Green Bay Packers 68.8 26 Simulate Game
Buffalo Bills 35.8 20 Boxscore
Detroit Lions 64.2 25 Simulate Game
New York Jets 37.1 23 Boxscore
San Diego Chargers 62.9 26 Simulate Game
Kansas City Chiefs 40.7 20 Boxscore
San Francisco 49ers 59.3 24 Simulate Game
Baltimore Ravens 45.9 22 Boxscore
Indianapolis Colts 54.1 23 Simulate Game
Cleveland Browns 47.1 22 Boxscore
Tennessee Titans 52.9 24 Simulate Game
Arizona Cardinals 48.9 24 Boxscore
Denver Broncos 51.1 25 Simulate Game
Houston Texans 49.3 24 Boxscore
Dallas Cowboys 50.7 25 Simulate Game
Chicago Bears 49.6 22 Boxscore
Carolina Panthers 50.4 23 Simulate Game
Atlanta Falcons 52.9 25 Boxscore
@ New York Giants 47.1 24 Simulate Game
Cincinnati Bengals 68.1 25 Boxscore
@ New England Patriots 31.9 19 Simulate Game
Seattle Seahawks 80.1 26 Boxscore
@ Washington Redskins 19.9 16 Simulate Game
Pittsburgh Steelers 81.5 33 Boxscore
@ Jacksonville Jaguars 18.5 21 Simulate Game

For additional statistics, view our sortable weekly NFL predictions.