WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 8 Predictions

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Notre Dame at Florida State

One would imagine the College Football Playoff powers-that-be envisioned a final four featuring the usual suspects of Alabama, Ohio State, perhaps an Auburn or Georgia and reigning champs Florida State.

At the moment, only the Seminoles would qualify for the College Football Playoff semifinals. The Mississippi connection of the Rebels and Bulldogs along with the up-tempo Baylor Bears would fill out the foursome seven weeks into the season. But the Irish are knocking at No. 5 in the most recent rankings despite an awful showing against North Carolina in Week 6.

The Tar Heels (the same team that East Carolina racked up 70 points against) posted 184 rushing yards and 326 passing yards - both season-highs allowed by the Irish. Before UNC dropped 43 points on the defense, Notre Dame only allowed 12 points per game - it's since jumped to 17.2 (ranked eighth in the country). Just keep in mind the 12 points allowed per game were against Rice, Michigan, Purdue, Syracuse and Stanford. Plus, Notre Dame played six straight home games to start the season.

Notre Dame's rush defense is ranked 19th in the nation (110.5 YAPG), while their pass defense is currently 67th at nearly 239 passing yards allowed per game.

Quarterback Everett Golson has been Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde when it comes to 2014 production. He's completing better than 62 percent of his passes with 16 touchdowns and rushed 58 times for 209 yards with four scores. However, he's turned the ball over nine times the past three games. Three turnovers led to 21 points for North Carolina in Week 6.

The rest of the backfield is split between three players with Tarean Folston leading the charge with 263 yards and two touchdowns on 60 carries. He also has 10 receptions for 128 yards and a touchdown.

William Fuller is Golson's favorite target in the passing game. He has 35 receptions for 504 yards with seven scores.

Florida State's storyline heading into the game is more about Jameis Winston's pending issues off the field more so than his play on Saturdays.

Statistically speaking, which drive the simulation prediction results on WhatIfSports.com, not much has changed since we checked in with FSU before their game against Clemson. The Seminoles survived a 56-41 shootout with NC State before crushing Wake Forest and Syracuse the last two weeks.

Winston leads the offense with his arm completing 70 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. Overall, the Seminoles rank 13th in the nation in passing yards per game at 324 yards per pop.

Karlos Williams paces the rushing attack with 74 carries at nearly five yards per attempt with five house calls. Rashad Greene leads the receiving corps with 44 receptions for 683 yards with three scores.

FSU's defense ranks outside the top 40 against both the pass and rush, but is 30th in scoring defense at 20.7 points allowed per game.

We simulated the Irish and Seminoles 101 times and it's the Seminoles winning 62.4 percent of the time by an average score of 26-22.

College Football Week 8 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Virginia Cavaliers 26.7 19.2 Boxscore
Duke Blue Devils 73.3 24.6  
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 37.6 21.5 Boxscore
Florida State Seminoles 62.4 25.7  
North Carolina State Wolfpack 38.1 19.4 Boxscore
Louisville Cardinals 61.9 23.6  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 56.4 24.3 Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels 43.6 23.6  
Syracuse Orange 66.3 20.3 Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons 33.7 17.0  
Virginia Tech Hokies 71.3 23.2 Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers 28.7 17.3  
Clemson Tigers 72.3 25.7 Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles 27.7 17.9  
Purdue Boilermakers 31.2 19.7 Boxscore
Minnesota Golden Gophers 68.8 26.6  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 38.6 19.8 Boxscore
Ohio State Buckeyes 61.4 23.5  
Iowa Hawkeyes 44.6 19.3 Boxscore
Maryland Terrapins 55.4 21.1  
Nebraska Cornhuskers 59.4 22.9 Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats 40.6 17.7  
Michigan State Spartans 68.3 26.1 Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers 31.7 19.6  
Miami (OH) RedHawks 16.8 16.7 Boxscore
Northern Illinois Huskies 83.2 27.0  
Ball State Cardinals 36.6 21.3 Boxscore
Central Michigan Chippewas 63.4 26.0  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 47.5 23.1 Boxscore
Massachusetts Minutemen 52.5 23.0  
Western Michigan Broncos 49.0 25.2 Boxscore
Bowling Green Falcons 51.0 25.7  
Army Black Knights 54.5 24.7 Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes 45.5 21.6  
Akron Zips 58.9 23.8 Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats 41.1 21.1  
Colorado Buffaloes 27.2 19.5 Boxscore
USC Trojans 72.8 28.4  
Washington Huskies 29.2 20.3 Boxscore
Oregon Ducks 70.8 28.0  
Stanford Cardinal 53.5 24.5 Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils 46.5 24.0  
UCLA Bruins 62.4 30.5 Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears 37.6 26.4  
Utah Utes 67.3 26.6 Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers 32.7 22.0  
Furman Paladins 5.0 8.0 Boxscore
South Carolina Gamecocks 95.0 45.7  
Tennessee Volunteers 28.7 17.5 Boxscore
Ole Miss Rebels 71.3 27.0  
Kentucky Wildcats 33.7 20.0 Boxscore
LSU Tigers 66.3 24.1  
Missouri Tigers 43.6 18.5 Boxscore
Florida Gators 56.4 19.6  
Texas A&M Aggies 48.5 25.3 Boxscore
Alabama Crimson Tide 51.5 25.5  
Georgia Bulldogs 73.3 26.0 Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 26.7 19.8  
Nevada Wolf Pack 44.6 20.2 Boxscore
BYU Cougars 55.4 22.3  
Kansas Jayhawks 35.6 23.5 Boxscore
Texas Tech Red Raiders 64.4 28.7  
Iowa State Cyclones 41.6 19.7 Boxscore
Texas Longhorns 58.4 24.0  
Kansas State Wildcats 43.6 23.2 Boxscore
Oklahoma Sooners 56.4 25.7  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 44.6 23.6 Boxscore
TCU Horned Frogs 55.4 26.4  
Baylor Bears 68.3 28.7 Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers 31.7 22.8  
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 32.7 18.6 Boxscore
North Texas Mean Green 67.3 23.9  
UTSA Roadrunners 38.6 21.2 Boxscore
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 61.4 24.2  
UAB Blazers 55.4 30.2 Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 44.6 27.5  
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 57.4 28.1 Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls 42.6 25.1  
Marshall Thundering Herd 86.1 30.2 Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 13.9 16.0  
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 29.2 22.5 Boxscore
San Diego State Aztecs 70.8 27.6  
Fresno State Bulldogs 35.1 24.8 Boxscore
Boise State Broncos 64.9 29.3  
New Mexico Lobos 38.6 24.8 Boxscore
Air Force Falcons 61.4 29.0  
Utah State Aggies 45.5 25.2 Boxscore
Colorado State Rams 54.5 27.9  
San Jose State Spartans 57.4 28.5 Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys 42.6 25.0  
Georgia State Panthers 25.7 20.2 Boxscore
South Alabama Jaguars 74.3 28.9  
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 42.6 24.5 Boxscore
Texas State Bobcats 57.4 26.7  
Appalachian State Mountaineers 44.6 25.2 Boxscore
Troy Trojans 55.4 26.9  
New Mexico State Aggies 55.0 26.3 Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals 45.0 24.2  
Tulane Green Wave 20.8 15.9 Boxscore
UCF Knights 79.2 25.1  
Temple Owls 40.6 23.8 Boxscore
Houston Cougars 59.4 27.6  
South Florida Bulls 62.4 24.3 Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane 37.6 20.2  
Cincinnati Bearcats 81.2 31.6 Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs 18.8 18.1  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.