WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 3 Predictions
Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams.
Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Georgia at South Carolina
What a soft Week 3 college football schedule we have ahead of us. It's so depressing, fans should cue up the Debbie Downer YouTube clip and womp-wahhh! Our game of the week - Georgia at South Carolina - is the only matchup that features two teams ranked inside the Top 25.
We'll begin with the Gamecocks and the team's sluggish start to their 2014 campaign.
On top of former South Carolina defensive stud Jadeveon Clowney tearing his meniscus in his NFL debut, the top pick's alma mater was *this* close to starting the season 0-2. The pass-heavy East Carolina Pirates only trailed by four at the half and closed within seven points early in the fourth quarter before SC quarterback Dylan Thompson engineered an 18-play, 86-yard, 10-plus-minute drive that led to a field goal and pushed the Gamecocks' lead over the Pirates to 10 points with 90 seconds to spare.
After boasting a defense which ranked inside the Top 20 the last three seasons, the Gamecocks' defense currently ranks...123rd in the nation (per CFBStats.com). Granted, Kenny Hill and Texas A&'s 51-point barrage in Week 1 has much to do with their poor statistical DNA (those stats run our engine). The Aggies racked up 511 total yards, while the Pirates posted 453.
On top of that, coach Spurrier's offense hasn't provided much support for the defense. Thompson is completing less than 60 percent of his passes with only five touchdowns. The two-headed running back tandem of Mike Davis and Brandon Wilds only has two scores and is averaging less than five yards per carry. On the bright side, Davis posted 149 rushing yards with 49 receiving against the Bulldogs last year.
The Georgia Bulldogs took Week 2 off after blasting Clemson the opening weekend. In that contest, Todd Gurley erupted for 198 rushing yards on only 15 carries with three touchdowns.
A South Carolina win will come down to whether or not their defense can stop Gurley. If they can, it'll then be a matter of whether or not Thompson and company can generate enough offense because the effort in the first two weeks isn't going to cut it against UGA. The Bulldogs last won at SC back in 2008.
We simulated the Bulldogs and Gamecocks 101 times and the computers like Georgia 56.9 percent of the time by an average score of 24.7-23.0.
College Football Week 3 Predictions | |||
---|---|---|---|
Matchup | Win % | Avg. Score | |
Arkansas State Red Wolves | 21.8 | 20.2 | Boxscore |
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 78.2 | 29.1 | |
Georgia Southern Eagles | 23.3 | 18.6 | Boxscore |
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 76.7 | 28.1 | |
Kansas Jayhawks | 27.7 | 19.4 | Boxscore |
@ Duke Blue Devils | 72.3 | 27.8 | |
East Carolina Pirates | 35.6 | 18.0 | Boxscore |
@ Virginia Tech Hokies | 64.4 | 23.1 | |
USC Trojans | 66.3 | 27.2 | Boxscore |
@ Boston College Eagles | 33.7 | 18.8 | |
Louisville Cardinals | 76.7 | 22.8 | Boxscore |
@ Virginia Cavaliers | 23.3 | 14.6 | |
Kent State Golden Flashes | 20.8 | 18.3 | Boxscore |
@ Ohio State Buckeyes | 79.2 | 26.8 | |
Miami (OH) RedHawks | 19.8 | 13.1 | Boxscore |
@ Michigan Wolverines | 80.2 | 27.3 | |
Iowa State Cyclones | 31.2 | 17.7 | Boxscore |
@ Iowa Hawkeyes | 68.8 | 23.6 | |
West Virginia Mountaineers | 55.0 | 21.9 | Boxscore |
@ Maryland Terrapins | 45.0 | 21.4 | |
Penn State Nittany Lions | 57.4 | 23.8 | Boxscore |
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 42.6 | 19.8 | |
Indiana State Sycamores | 5.0 | 9.1 | Boxscore |
@ Ball State Cardinals | 95.0 | 46.6 | |
Syracuse Orange | 50.5 | 23.1 | Boxscore |
@ Central Michigan Chippewas | 49.5 | 20.4 | |
Indiana Hoosiers | 52.5 | 27.8 | Boxscore |
@ Bowling Green Falcons | 47.5 | 26.4 | |
Baylor Bears | 86.1 | 32.5 | Boxscore |
@ Buffalo Bulls | 13.9 | 18.2 | |
Portland State Vikings | 5.0 | 7.4 | Boxscore |
@ Washington State Cougars | 95.0 | 44.2 | |
Army Black Knights | 10.9 | 17.3 | Boxscore |
@ Stanford Cardinal | 89.1 | 31.0 | |
Wyoming Cowboys | 19.3 | 21.0 | Boxscore |
@ Oregon Ducks | 80.7 | 33.2 | |
Nevada Wolf Pack | 35.6 | 24.8 | Boxscore |
@ Arizona Wildcats | 64.4 | 28.3 | |
Illinois Fighting Illini | 37.6 | 21.8 | Boxscore |
@ Washington Huskies | 62.4 | 25.1 | |
Arizona State Sun Devils | 80.2 | 29.5 | Boxscore |
@ Colorado Buffaloes | 19.8 | 18.8 | |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 10.9 | 14.6 | Boxscore |
@ Alabama Crimson Tide | 89.1 | 32.2 | |
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 16.8 | 17.3 | Boxscore |
@ LSU Tigers | 83.2 | 28.6 | |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 20.3 | 18.7 | Boxscore |
@ Ole Miss Rebels | 79.7 | 29.7 | |
Rice Owls | 23.8 | 20.6 | Boxscore |
@ Texas A&M Aggies | 76.2 | 30.3 | |
Kentucky Wildcats | 29.2 | 15.3 | Boxscore |
@ Florida Gators | 70.8 | 24.1 | |
Massachusetts Minutemen | 29.7 | 14.4 | Boxscore |
@ Vanderbilt Commodores | 70.3 | 21.4 | |
UCF Knights | 48.0 | 23.3 | Boxscore |
@ Missouri Tigers | 52.0 | 24.4 | |
Georgia Bulldogs | 56.9 | 24.7 | Boxscore |
@ South Carolina Gamecocks | 43.1 | 23.0 | |
Purdue Boilermakers | 10.9 | 16.5 | Boxscore |
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 89.1 | 32.6 | |
Houston Cougars | 39.6 | 18.4 | Boxscore |
@ BYU Cougars | 60.4 | 24.0 | |
UTSA Roadrunners | 29.2 | 22.1 | Boxscore |
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70.8 | 28.4 | |
Arkansas Razorbacks | 32.7 | 21.9 | Boxscore |
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders | 67.3 | 27.1 | |
Minnesota Golden Gophers | 33.7 | 18.6 | Boxscore |
@ TCU Horned Frogs | 66.3 | 22.7 | |
Tennessee Volunteers | 34.7 | 20.0 | Boxscore |
@ Oklahoma Sooners | 65.3 | 25.2 | |
UCLA Bruins | 64.4 | 26.7 | Boxscore |
@ Texas Longhorns | 35.6 | 20.2 | |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 5.0 | 7.6 | Boxscore |
@ UAB Blazers | 95.0 | 43.4 | |
Ohio Bobcats | 34.7 | 23.5 | Boxscore |
@ Marshall Thundering Herd | 65.3 | 29.6 | |
Eastern Michigan Eagles | 45.5 | 25.1 | Boxscore |
@ Old Dominion Monarchs | 54.5 | 26.5 | |
New Mexico State Aggies | 46.5 | 25.0 | Boxscore |
@ UTEP Miners | 53.5 | 27.1 | |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 49.0 | 23.0 | Boxscore |
@ North Texas Mean Green | 51.0 | 22.7 | |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 54.5 | 27.7 | Boxscore |
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 45.5 | 25.0 | |
Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 66.3 | 23.7 | Boxscore |
@ Florida Atlantic Owls | 33.7 | 19.9 | |
Pittsburgh Panthers | 95.0 | 30.9 | Boxscore |
@ FIU Golden Panthers | 5.0 | 12.9 | |
UNI Panthers | 5.0 | 8.5 | Boxscore |
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 95.0 | 40.1 | |
UC Davis Aggies | 5.0 | 8.2 | Boxscore |
@ Colorado State Rams | 95.0 | 44.0 | |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 38.1 | 17.9 | Boxscore |
@ Utah State Aggies | 61.9 | 21.1 | |
Northern Illinois Huskies | 64.4 | 28.1 | Boxscore |
@ UNLV Rebels | 35.6 | 23.0 | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers | 76.2 | 30.2 | Boxscore |
@ Fresno State Bulldogs | 23.8 | 19.2 | |
Abilene Christian Wildcats | 5.0 | 7.4 | Boxscore |
@ Troy Trojans | 95.0 | 43.1 | |
Western Michigan Broncos | 49.5 | 24.7 | Boxscore |
@ Idaho Vandals | 50.5 | 24.1 | |
Air Force Falcons | 64.4 | 27.8 | Boxscore |
@ Georgia State Panthers | 35.6 | 22.6 | |
Mississippi State Bulldogs | 65.3 | 25.0 | Boxscore |
@ South Alabama Jaguars | 34.7 | 19.1 | |
Navy Midshipmen | 68.3 | 28.2 | Boxscore |
@ Texas State Bobcats | 31.7 | 21.7 | |
Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 5.0 | 8.8 | Boxscore |
@ Tulane Green Wave | 95.0 | 39.9 | |
Toledo Rockets | 38.6 | 23.2 | Boxscore |
@ Cincinnati Bearcats | 61.4 | 28.2 | |
North Carolina State Wolfpack | 54.5 | 23.4 | Boxscore |
@ South Florida Bulls | 45.5 | 23.1 | |
Boise State Broncos | 73.3 | 30.0 | Boxscore |
@ Connecticut Huskies | 26.7 | 22.7 |
For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.