Fantasy impact: Kurt Warner retires
In many ways,
Kurt Warner's NFL journey represents the American
dream.
Most of you know his story by now. The guy went to a no-name
college and didn't play at all until he was a senior. He
unsurprisingly went undrafted in the NFL, didn't catch on with the
Packers in a tryout, worked in a grocery store, spent some time in
the now defunct Arena League before finally catching on with the
Rams ... only to be shipped off to the also defunct NFL Europe for
a year before getting the opportunity to go back to St. Louis, sit
on the bench for yet another year and watch the Rams finish a
crappy 4-12.
Then, when finally given the opportunity (only because of a
season-ending injury to the incumbent QB1 Trent Green), he and the
perennially sorry Rams blindsided the entire NFL. Warner amassed
one of best seasons by a quarterback in NFL history, throwing for
4,353 yards, 41 touchdown passes and led the team to a highly
unexpected Super Bowl victory. It was like watching a novice golfer
suddenly sink not just one hole-in-one, but several of them on a
single round.
Really, what's not to like about that? Some athletes are
simply born with an absurd amount of talent and seem to
effortlessly find their place, while others (like Warner) have to
scratch and claw every inch of the way. How many of us can relate
to the latter a little more than the former?
Because he was already 28 years old when he played his first
full season for the Rams, Warner was only a few years away from
being a journeyman. After leaving St. Louis, he struggled with
injuries for a few seasons, didn't make much of an impact and
seemed to be riding off into the sunset.
Then, with
Matt Leinart not catching on to the Arizona
offense as consistently as he should, the Cardinals turned to
Warner as a full-time starter. He surprised everyone again by
clicking with the loaded Cardinal arsenal and was within minutes of
leading a historically inept and luckless franchise to a Super Bowl
victory. He finally called it a career after this season. Matt,
you've got some shoes to fill, buddy!
Leinart, a prodigy quarterback at USC who some pundits
thought possessed traits similar to those we've seen in the
greatest to ever play the position, will presumably take the reins
of this offense yet again.
As recently as last year, Warner was ranked among the top
three or four fantasy quarterbacks. Considering the Cardinals have
such an embarrassment of riches at wide receiver, a strong rushing
attack and solid offensive line, you'd have to imagine the majority
of quarterbacks in the league could light up the scoreboard.
We don't have a lot of data to work with on Leinart; he
looked somewhat promising as a rookie in 2006, but hasn't shown
much besides injuries and inconsistent play since. He'll no longer
have Warner as a crutch to lean on, so it's now or never for him to
produce.
I don't envision he'll do so at the same level Warner did
since we haven't really seen it from him often enough. That means
the fantasy value of Arizona's big three wideouts (
Larry Fitzgerald,
Anquan Boldin,
Steve Breaston) takes a temporary downtick.
I think Ken Whisenhunt may try to run the ball a bit more,
which increases the value of
Beanie Wells and possibly means
Tim Hightower will do more than just catch passes
out of the backfield. At least until Leinart shows a little more
consistency, the Cardinals may - gasp - become more of a
run-oriented team. Stay tuned.