NFL Super Bowl Futures Report: Bettors Not Sold On Seahawks, Patriots
As the NFL season arrives, the Rams are atop Super Bowl futures odds. In fact, Los Angeles is not only the favorite, but the second choice Bills’ odds are twice that of the Rams.
That’ll happen when an already strong team adds sack-master Myles Garrett in the offseason, then welcomes back the recently un-retired Aaron Donald.
"It’s warranted, if you look at the talent of this team up and down the roster," Caesars Sports head of football trading Joey Feazel said.
Feazel provides his insights on Super Bowl 61 odds and action, ahead of Wednesday’s kickoff between the defending champion Seahawks and runner-up Patriots.
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Money From The Masses
Last season, the Rams fell just short of a Super Bowl appearance, losing to the Seahawks 31-27 in the NFC Championship Game. As the 2026-27 season opens, multiple sportsbooks are reporting strong L.A. action, with Caesars among them.
"We opened at +900 and have cut those odds almost in half to +500. And the action is coming in, no matter what the price is," Feazel said of steady Rams betting. "The Rams are No. 1 in ticket count, and they’re No. 1 by a healthy margin in money."
Indeed, 18% of all Super Bowl futures money at Caesars is on the Rams. That’s 2.5 times more cash than the 49ers, who are second in money at 7%, as the +1800 co-eighth choice.
Super Bowl Hangover?
Interestingly, the Super Bowl champion Seahawks — the +1100 third choice in odds to win the Super Bowl — aren’t getting nearly the attention of their NFC West rivals.
"I don’t think bettors are sold on the Seahawks," Feazel said. "From February to now, they’ve lost a lot of key pieces. There’s been a little fallout on expectations, based on the pieces they did and didn’t keep."
Among those departing: Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker III, who signed with the Chiefs in the offseason. Further, fellow running back Zach Charbonnet will miss Seattle’s first four games — and possibly more — while continuing to recover from a torn ACL suffered in last season’s playoffs.
The Seahawks beat the Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl 60. New England also isn’t among the more popular bets in Super Bowl futures odds, while sitting at +2000.
"They’re not really betting the Patriots much at all. That’s actually one of our better positions," Feazel said.
Liability Leaders
As is often the case in Super Bowl futures, it’s a long shot creating the biggest concern at Caesars. Heavy regional bias in Caesars’ Las Vegas market is helping to heighten that concern.
"Our biggest liability and the best result for customers is the Raiders," Feazel said of the +12500 long shots (125/1). "Bringing in [new coach] Klint Kubiak and rookie QB Fernando Mendoza is leading to a lot of money."
Mendoza led Indiana to a 16-0 season and the national championship last season. But he’s not yet the starter and might not be for a while, with offseason acquisition Kirk Cousins the Raiders’ QB1 at the moment.
Feazel also noted a couple legitimate liabilities in Super Bowl 61 odds.
"Obviously, the Rams are not our greatest position. Then the Broncos and the 49ers," Feazel said of two teams at +1800. "The Broncos are getting a lot of love. Bettors are still interested in Denver, and the same with the 49ers.
"And there’s a whole lot of love around Kyler Murray and the Vikings."
Indeed, Minnesota opened as a +8000 long shot and has nearly cut that price in half to +4500. After seven seasons with the Cardinals, Murray signed with the Vikes in the offseason and beat out J.J. McCarthy for the starting job.
Sportsbook Needs
On the flip side, Caesars Sports has a quartet of legit teams that it’s rooting for in Super Bowl futures. All four are certainly playoff contenders.
"The Jaguars are a great position for us, and the Lions are great for us, which is not normally the case," Feazel said. "Also, the Ravens and Texans. A lot of people are sleeping on how good that Texans defense is."
Jacksonville went a stout 13-4 last season before losing to the Bills in the wild-card round. Houston went 12-5 in the regular season, then routed the Steelers in the wild card before bowing out at New England.
The Jags are +2800 at Caesars, while the Texans are part of a +1800 logjam with the Broncos, 49ers and Chargers.
Detroit went a combined 29-9 in 2023-24/2024-25, including playoff games, but stumbled to 9-8 last year and missed the postseason. Similarly, Baltimore went a disappointing 8-9 last year, largely due to QB Lamar Jackson (knee/back) missing four games.
Caesars expects both teams to bounce back, with the Ravens the +1300 fourth choice in Super Bowl 61 odds, followed by the Lions at +1600.
I Like Big Bets and I Cannot Lie
As the season commences, there are a plethora of bets on Super Bowl futures odds. Among the more notable plays at Caesars is a $27,000 wager on Seahawks +1100.
If Sam Darnold & Co. pull off a repeat title, then that bettor cashes in for $297,000 profit, for a total payout of $324,000.
Other noteworthy wagers at Caesars:
- $10,000 Cowboys +2200 (Caesars): If Dallas finally breaks through, then this bettor pockets $220,000 profit (total payout $230,000)
- $10,000 Bengals +2000 (Caesars). A Joe Burrow championship would net $200,000 for this bettor (total payout $210,000)
Then there’s this Super Bowl exacta at DraftKings Sportsbook:
- $2,500 on the Bengals to beat the Cowboys in Super Bowl 61, at +50000
In easier-to-digest terms, the odds are 500/1. If somehow it’s Bengals vs. Cowboys on Feb. 14 at SoFi Stadium, and Cincinnati wins its first-ever Super Bowl, then that customer profits $1.25 million.