2024-25 AFC South Division odds: Texans favored; Jaguars, Colts chasing

The reigning AFC South champion Houston Texans are the favorites to claim the division title in 2024.

With the new NFL season on the horizon, their odds have moved to +105 after opening at +150 in March.

Houston finished last in the division in 2022 but then completed a reversal for the ages in 2023, winning its first division title since 2019.

Despite Houston being the lone AFC South representative in last year's playoffs, the Colts and Jaguars also ended the season with winning records, just one game behind the Texans in the overall standings.

The Jaguars also had a 4-2 record in the division, splitting their games with Houston but losing the tiebreaker via overall record. 

Jacksonville is second on the board at +250 after opening at +200.

Let's take a look at the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Aug. 28.

AFC SOUTH DIVISION WINNER ODDS

Houston Texans: +105 (bet $10 to win $20.50 total)
Jacksonville Jaguars: +250 (bet $10 to win $35 total)
Indianapolis Colts: +340 (bet $10 to win $44 total)
Tennessee Titans: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)


Here are the key points to know regarding each AFC South squad.

HOUSTON TEXANS

2023-24 division finish: 1st (4-2)

Bottom line: With a new coach and new quarterback in the fold, the Texans went from 3-13-1 in 2022 to 10-7 in 2023. C.J. Stroud was named Offensive Rookie of the Year, and DeMeco Ryans finished second in Coach of the Year voting. Now, the question becomes if Houston can repeat its success from last season, where it only finished a game ahead of Indianapolis and an underachieving Jacksonville.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

2023-24 division finish: 2nd (3-3)

Bottom line: The Colts are currently third on the betting board at +340 to take the division, but they opened slightly shorter at +275. They, like the Texans, saw promise from their rookie quarterback to start last season. However, Anthony Richardson only saw action in four games, suffering a concussion and a season-ending shoulder injury. How will he look upon his return to the fold? If he struggles, the Colts signed reigning Comeback Player of the Year Joe Flacco as his backup. Flacco went 4-1 as a starter last regular season, leading Cleveland to the playoffs, where the Browns were eventually blown out by Houston in the wild-card round.

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JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

2023-24 division finish: 3rd (4-2)

Bottom line: Last season proved to be a dud for the Jags. They started the season 8-3, before losing five of their last six, including their Week 18 finale at Tennessee, with a playoff berth on the line. Trevor Lawrence seemingly took a step back, going 8-8 in 16 starts and throwing 21 touchdowns to 14 interceptions. In three seasons, he now has 58 TDs to 39 INTs. Still, he did lead Jacksonville to the division title in 2022.

TENNESSEE TITANS

2023-24 division finish: 4th (1-5)

Bottom line: The Titans' odds to win the division are +1000, a slight move from where they opened at +1100. Will Levis appears locked into the starting role for the Titans, after starting nine games last season, going 3-6 with eight TDs and four picks. He has reinforcements coming in the form of former Jags wideout Calvin Ridley. Ridley has racked up 1,000 yards receiving twice in five seasons, including last year, when he caught 76 balls for 1,016 yards and eight scores. 

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