2026 Ultimate NFL Gambling Guide: Picks, Predictions, Odds, Futures To Bet On

Welcome to the only NFL betting guide you'll need this season, whether you're a first-time bettor or a seasoned veteran.

From Super Bowl and MVP futures to season win totals, player props and award markets, this guide features our top wagers across the board, detailed breakdowns of teams and players, long-shot bets and much more to prepare you for the 2026 NFL season.

To Win Super Bowl | To Win Division | Over/Under Win Totals | To Make Playoffs | To Miss Playoffs | MVP | Offensive Player of the Year | Defensive Player of the Year | Offensive Rookie of the Year | Defensive Rookie of the Year | Over/Under Player Stats

To Win Super Bowl

Los Angeles Rams +500

Yes, the Rams are heavy favorites to win the Super Bowl. But on paper, this might be one of the best NFL teams of the last decade. In 2025, the Rams lost twice to the eventual Super Bowl champion Seahawks by a combined four points in two games they had legitimate chances to win. Now, while Seattle lost several key contributors this offseason, Los Angeles has significantly upgraded its biggest weakness, the defense. The Rams acquired reigning Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett and two-time All-Pro cornerback Trent McDuffie, while also bringing back franchise sack leader Aaron Donald. That's a massive boost for a defense that allowed the 16th-most yards per game and the 14th-most passing yards per game in 2025. 

With Garrett, McDuffie and Donald now in the fold, it's difficult to find a weakness on this roster. And the offense? The Rams return the entire unit that led the NFL in scoring and total offense last season. They also ranked first in pass plays of 20-plus yards and third in big plays. The Rams were already one of the NFL's best teams. After addressing their biggest weakness this offseason, they enter 2026 with arguably one of the best preseason rosters in recent NFL history.

Los Angeles Chargers +1700

Last season, the Chargers won 11 games despite being without two of the best offensive tackles in the NFL for most of the year. Rashawn Slater suffered a season-ending injury in training camp, while Joe Alt was injured in Week 4, returned in Week 8 and then suffered another ankle injury in Week 9 that ended his season. Now, both are expected to be back in 2026, giving Los Angeles what could be the best tackle duo in football. And they'll be joined by new offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel, who has already begun reshaping the offense around Justin Herbert. 

So imagine getting this team at +1700 to win the Super Bowl. The Chargers won 11 games and made the playoffs last season despite their injury issues, and at times — especially early in the year — looked like one of the best teams in football. Now, they've replaced their offensive coordinator with McDaniel and should be significantly better up front. We've already seen what McDaniel's system can do with Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback. Now put Justin Herbert in that offense, behind a healthy Slater and Alt, and watch out.

Chicago Bears +2400

Two words: Ben Johnson. 

There are plenty of people who believe the Bears will take a step back after seven comeback wins and plenty of late-game heroics propelled Chicago to an 11-6 record, an NFC North title and a playoff win in Johnson's first season as head coach. Caleb Williams now has another year to develop and become more comfortable in Johnson's complex offensive system. After throwing for a franchise-record 3,942 yards and 27 touchdowns last season, there is plenty of room for another jump in Year 2 under Johnson. 

The biggest concern is the defense. Chicago allowed 361.8 yards per game last season, ranking 29th in the NFL, while surrendering 32 passing touchdowns. The defense needs to improve, but there's no reason this high-powered offense can't be among the NFL's best. The Bears finished sixth in total offense and second in explosive plays last season, and with Williams entering another year in Johnson's system, this unit could be even better in 2026.

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To Win Division

Baltimore Ravens -112

After 18 seasons under John Harbaugh, the Baltimore Ravens have entered a new era, one led by Jesse Minter. The 2025 season was a nightmare for a Ravens team that entered the year with Super Bowl aspirations. Baltimore started 1-5 and battled injuries throughout the season, most notably to Lamar Jackson. Jackson missed four games and was banged up for much of the year, never consistently looking like his usual self. Now, Jackson enters 2026 healthy, while Minter brings a defensive-minded approach to Baltimore. 

The Ravens also added four-time Pro Bowl pass rusher Trey Hendrickson, giving a defense that recorded just 30 sacks last season a proven closer off the edge. With Jackson and Derrick Henry leading the offense and Minter and Hendrickson helping reshape the defense, this roster has very few weaknesses. On paper, this could be one of the most complete teams Baltimore has assembled during the Jackson era.

Dallas Cowboys +235

It was a tale of two sides of the ball for Dallas in 2025. While the offense showed plenty of promise, the defense struggled significantly, finishing last in the NFL in both points allowed per game (30.1) and passing yards allowed per game (251.5). The Cowboys also ranked third-worst in total yards allowed per game (377.0) and takeaways (12), seventh-worst in sacks (35) and 10th-worst in rushing yards allowed per game (125.5). 

However, Dallas went out and aggressively addressed its biggest weakness this offseason. The Cowboys hired Christian Parker as their new defensive coordinator, signed Quinnen Williams to a massive extension, acquired Rashan Gary and Dee Winters, added Jalen Thompson and Cobie Durant, and drafted Caleb Downs in the first round. If the new additions make the expected impact, Dallas has everything it needs to contend for the NFC East title.

New Orleans Saints +235

New Orleans finished last season on a strong note, winning four of its final five games. During that stretch, quarterback Tyler Shough emerged as a bright spot, throwing for 1,316 yards, the fifth-most in the NFL over that span. He also ranked fourth in explosive passes of 16-plus yards and fourth in completion percentage (69.9%). 

The Saints added Travis Etienne Jr. and David Edwards this offseason, further strengthening an offensive line that has the potential to be one of the league's best. In a wide-open NFC South that the Panthers won with just eight victories last season, expect New Orleans to take a significant step forward in Year 2 under Kellen Moore.

Over/Under Win Totals

Los Angeles Chargers Over 9.5 Wins

As stated above, we're extremely high on the Chargers in 2026.

Even with a difficult schedule, including an early-season stretch of six straight games against teams that made the playoffs last year, this team is built to handle it. Jim Harbaugh and Mike McDaniel are the perfect complements to each other. Harbaugh's leadership and physical identity should pair perfectly with McDaniel's offensive creativity, especially with arguably the best collection of talent McDaniel has ever had to work with. 

The Chargers also return a defense that led the NFL in scoring defense last season (20.0 PPG allowed), while ranking 10th in sacks and seventh in turnovers forced. Los Angeles has won 11 games in back-to-back seasons, and this combination of talent and coaching is significantly better than what the Chargers had in 2024 or 2025.

Las Vegas Raiders Over 5.5 Wins

The Raiders have won a combined seven games over the last two seasons, but those came with Antonio Pierce and Pete Carroll at the helm. Now, Klint Kubiak takes over in what was arguably one of the best head coaching hires of the offseason. 

Kubiak comes from the highly regarded Kubiak-Shanahan coaching tree and played an instrumental role in the Seahawks' Super Bowl run last season as offensive coordinator. Las Vegas also spent $281 million in free agency, making several major additions on defense while signing All-Pro center Tyler Linderbaum to help overhaul what was one of the NFL's worst offensive lines a season ago. After winning just seven games over the past two seasons combined, reaching six wins this year should be well within reach.

Houston Texans Over 9.5 Wins

After starting last season 0-3, the Texans went 12-2 over their final 14 regular-season games, the third-best record in the NFL over that span. Houston then dominated Pittsburgh in the Wild Card round before falling to the eventual AFC champion Patriots in a game plagued by five turnovers, including four C.J. Stroud interceptions. 

The Texans also featured one of the NFL's most dominant defenses in 2025, ranking first in total defense (277.2 YPG allowed), second in scoring defense (17.4 PPG allowed), third in takeaways (29), fourth in rushing defense (93.7 YPG allowed) and sixth in passing defense (183.5 YPG allowed). They enter 2026 with the league's 26th-toughest strength of schedule and play in an AFC South that has typically been one of the NFL's weaker divisions. Houston won 12 of its final 14 games last season and is well-positioned to carry that momentum into this season.

Denver Broncos Over 9.5 Wins

After winning 14 games in 2025, sportsbooks have set their win total at just 9.5 entering this season. If Bo Nix doesn't get hurt in the Divisional Round, Denver very well could have reached the Super Bowl, and perhaps even hoisted the Lombardi Trophy. Now, the Broncos return most of their starters from last year's 14-win team while adding Jaylen Waddle, who should bring another dynamic element to the offense. 

Oddsmakers doubted Denver throughout last season, yet it still won four of its five games as an underdog. Despite the low win total, there isn't much reason to expect a major drop-off from the Broncos in 2026. This roster remains loaded, and Denver should once again be among the AFC's top contenders.

Green Bay Packers Under 9.5 Wins

The Packers are coming off a heartbreaking wild card loss to the Bears in which they blew an 18-point lead. Now, there are plenty of reasons to expect Green Bay to take a step back in 2026. Jordan Love has missed multiple games in each of the last two seasons, and Malik Willis is no longer there to provide a reliable backup option. 

The Packers also lost several key defensive players this offseason, including Rashan Gary and Quay Walker, which could lead to significant regression on that side of the ball. Green Bay wasn't particularly dominant in any area last season, either. The Packers ranked 16th in scoring offense (23.0 PPG) and 15th in total offense (332.6 YPG), while finishing 11th in scoring defense (21.2 PPG allowed), 12th in total defense (311.8 YPG allowed) and eighth in rushing defense (117.7 YPG allowed). 

Seattle Seahawks Under 10.5 Wins

The defending Super Bowl champions have a win total of just 10.5, which feels surprisingly low for a team coming off a title. 

But perhaps oddsmakers know something. 

Seattle lost several key contributors from last year's Super Bowl run, including Kenneth Walker III, Boye Mafe, Coby Bryant and Riq Woolen. With that much talent departing, some regression feels inevitable. The Seahawks reached the mountaintop last season, but don't expect them to match that success in 2026. Take Seattle to go Under its win total.

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To Make Playoffs

Minnesota Vikings +154

The Vikings moved on from Sam Darnold heading into last season, and the decision didn't exactly work out. Darnold went on to win a Super Bowl with Seattle, while Minnesota battled quarterback instability throughout the year and missed the playoffs. 

However, there was one major bright spot: the Vikings finished the season with five straight wins, allowing an absurd 10.4 points per game over that stretch. That was easily the best mark in the NFL, with the next-best team allowing 15.0 points per game. Now, with Kyler Murray under center, Minnesota's offense should be significantly improved. 

Pair that with a defense that finished last season playing at an elite level and one of the league's best offensive-minded head coaches in Kevin O'Connell, and the Vikings should get back to their winning ways in 2026.

New York Giants +255

Since winning the Super Bowl in 2011, the Giants have made the playoffs just twice, in 2016 and 2022. New York has also won a combined seven games over the last two seasons. But there's reason for optimism with John Harbaugh now at the helm. 

Harbaugh brings an impressive track record to New York, including a Super Bowl title and a 193-124 record across 18 seasons as the Ravens' head coach. The Giants also have promising young talent on both sides of the ball and get Malik Nabers back after he missed most of last season. With an accomplished head coach taking over and a healthier roster, there's strong value in backing New York to take a significant step forward in 2026.

To Miss Playoffs

New England Patriots +184

The Patriots had a dream season in 2025. In Mike Vrabel's first year at the helm, he transformed New England from a 4-13 team in 2024 into a 14-3 team that won the AFC, an incredible 10-win improvement in just one season. 

But there's a catch. 

New England went 13-1 against teams that finished with losing records last season, compared to just 1-2 against teams with winning records. Its opponents finished with a combined 113-176 record (.391), giving the Patriots the easiest strength of schedule in the NFL. Fast forward to 2026, and the situation looks much different. New England enters the season with the sixth-hardest strength of schedule based on its opponents' combined 2025 winning percentage (.531). 

Most Valuable Player

This is the year for Justin Herbert. 

Everything has finally fallen into place. Since 2021, Herbert has the third-most passing yards in the NFL, trailing only Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff. After spending the past two seasons with Greg Roman as his offensive coordinator, Herbert will now have one of the league's best offensive play-callers by his side in Mike McDaniel. Herbert also played through significant injuries around him last season, particularly along the offensive line and in the backfield. 

Now, he'll get Omarion Hampton back healthy, along with a deep running back room and a young receiving corps that should only continue to improve. Most importantly, the Chargers also got both of their starting offensive tackles back after they missed most, if not all, of last season. 

The strides Caleb Williams made from Year 1 to Year 2 were significant, and we're expecting another big jump in Year 3 and his second season under Ben Johnson. 

Williams threw for 3,942 yards and 27 touchdowns with just seven interceptions last season, leading the Bears to an NFC North title and a playoff win. Johnson's offense is notoriously complex, making Williams' success in his first year in the system even more impressive. Now, Williams has another full offseason to master the offense and continue developing within it. 

With dynamic playmakers surrounding him and a system built to maximize his playmaking ability and natural talent, Williams is poised for a breakout season in 2026.

Since joining the Lions in 2021, Jared Goff ranks second in the NFL in passing yards (21,451) and completions (1,904), third in passing touchdowns (149) and attempts (2,803), and fourth in completion percentage (67.9%), passer rating (101.3), yards per attempt (7.65) and quarterback wins (48). 

But the biggest reason we like Goff as a long-shot MVP bet is Detroit's defense. 

We expect the Lions to struggle significantly on that side of the ball, which could force Goff and the offense into plenty of high-scoring games throughout the season. If Goff puts up huge numbers while carrying Detroit's offense and leading the Lions back to the playoffs despite a poor defense, he'll have a compelling MVP case. At a big price, the value is there.

Offensive Player of the Year

With uncertainty at quarterback, Bijan Robinson is going to be called upon for a massive workload this season. In 2025, Robinson led the NFL in scrimmage yards (2,298) and scrimmage yards per game (135.2). He rushed for 1,478 yards, fourth-most in the league, while averaging 5.15 yards per carry and scoring seven touchdowns. 

He was just as dangerous as a receiver, finishing second among running backs in both receptions (79) and receiving yards (820), while adding four receiving touchdowns. Robinson finished fourth in Offensive Player of the Year voting last season, trailing only Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Christian McCaffrey and Puka Nacua, three players who put together historic seasons. 

Defensive Player of the Year

Last season, Will Anderson Jr. recorded 12 sacks, eighth-most in the NFL, along with 20 tackles for loss, which ranked fourth. He also added 23 quarterback hits, three forced fumbles and 54 total tackles. In 2026, Anderson will once again lead a Texans' defense that is expected to be among the best in football. 

His sack total has increased in each of his first three seasons, and he enters this year fresh off a massive contract extension that made him the highest-paid non-quarterback in NFL history. Anderson has already established himself as one of the league's premier pass rushers, but 2026 could be the year he takes another leap and adds DPOY to his résumé.

Offensive Rookie of the Year

While Jeremiyah Love, Carnell Tate and Fernando Mendoza headline this rookie class, Ja'Kobi Lane is the long shot we're eyeing at a big price. Lane landed in an ideal situation in Baltimore, where two-time MVP Lamar Jackson will throw him passes. 

The former USC wideout caught 49 passes for 745 yards and four touchdowns in 2025 while battling injuries, one year after scoring 12 touchdowns in 2024. At his best, Lane is a dangerous downfield threat because of his size and contested-catch ability. That skill set should pair nicely with Jackson, who has completed 247 passes of 20-plus yards since 2020, the 10th-most in the NFL over that span. If Lane earns a larger role in Baltimore's offense, he has the talent and quarterback situation to significantly outperform his price.

Defensive Rookie of the Year

The Cowboys landed Caleb Downs with the 11th overall pick, which could end up being the steal of the entire draft. 

At one point, Downs was viewed as a potential No. 1 overall pick after establishing himself as one of the most talented and impactful defensive players in college football over three seasons at Alabama and Ohio State. Downs made an immediate impact as a true freshman at Alabama in 2023, leading the Crimson Tide with 107 tackles and becoming the first freshman in program history to lead the team in that category. That production continued throughout his college career. Downs started every game he played, logged more than 2,500 defensive snaps and finished with 250-plus tackles, six interceptions and multiple sacks while missing fewer than 10% of his tackle attempts. 

Over/Under Player Stats

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers threw for 3,322 yards in 16 games. Now, he's reunited with Mike McCarthy, who takes over as the Steelers' head coach and has plenty of familiarity with the veteran quarterback. 

During their 13 seasons together in Green Bay, Rodgers went 98-55-1 as a starter while throwing for 41,941 yards, 334 touchdowns and just 78 interceptions with a 103.6 passer rating. The duo also won a Super Bowl together, while Rodgers earned two MVP awards during that span. Pittsburgh has also given Rodgers an upgraded group of weapons, adding Michael Pittman Jr. and Germie Bernard to a receiving corps that already features DK Metcalf. With McCarthy calling the shots and plenty of talent around him, Rodgers is well-positioned to exceed his season passing total in 2026.

Omarion Hampton's rookie season was derailed by an ankle injury that limited him to just nine games. He still rushed for 545 yards while averaging 4.4 yards per carry, but he clearly wasn't the same player after returning from the injury late in the season. 

Before getting hurt, Hampton averaged 4.8 yards per carry. After returning, that number dropped to 4.0 yards per attempt. Now fully healthy, the former North Carolina standout is primed for a breakout season. With Mike McDaniel taking over an offense that has historically leaned heavily on its running backs, Hampton should have plenty of opportunities to put up big numbers in 2026.

Ashton Jeanty didn't live up to expectations during his rookie season, rushing for 975 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games while averaging just 3.7 yards per carry. But much of those struggles can be attributed to the situation around him. 

Las Vegas was a disaster in 2025 and featured one of the NFL's worst offensive lines. That situation should look much different in 2026. The Raiders hired Klint Kubiak as head coach after he helped lead Seattle to a Super Bowl as its offensive coordinator, while offensive line coach Rick Dennison brings a long track record of overseeing successful rushing attacks. Las Vegas also made a major investment up front, signing Tyler Linderbaum to an $81 million contract to help transform the offensive line. Jeanty avoided a potentially significant injury during training camp and has a chance to return for Week 1. Staying healthy will be the biggest key for him entering his sophomore campaign. 

Like Hampton and Jeanty, Rome Odunze battled injuries throughout the 2025 season. He missed five games with a foot injury and also played through the issue at various points during the year. When Odunze was at his healthiest over the first four weeks of the season, he averaged 5.0 receptions on 8.8 targets for 74 receiving yards and 1.25 touchdowns per game. He has all the tools to put together a breakout campaign in 2026.

The former No. 4 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft has fallen well short of expectations through his first two seasons. Harrison recorded 885 receiving yards as a rookie before finishing with just 608 yards in 2025, although he missed five games due to injury. 

But 2026 presents an opportunity for a breakout. 

With offensive-minded head coach Mike LaFleur taking over and an Arizona defense expected to rank near the bottom of the league, the Cardinals could find themselves playing from behind often. That should create plenty of passing opportunities, particularly in the second half of games. If Harrison can stay healthy, the talent and opportunity are still there for him to finally deliver the breakout season many have been waiting for.

It was a tale of two seasons for Jonathan Taylor and the Colts in 2025. 

Through Week 10, Indianapolis was 8-2 and held the No. 1 seed in the AFC. During that stretch, Taylor was dominant, rushing for 1,139 yards while averaging 6.0 yards per carry and 113.9 yards per game, with 15 rushing touchdowns. But following the Colts' Week 11 bye, Taylor's production plummeted. He was held to 446 rushing yards over the final seven games, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry and 63.7 yards per game while scoring three rushing touchdowns. 

Indianapolis lost all seven of those games. Some of that decline came after Daniel Jones suffered an injury in early December, but the offense had already begun showing cracks. Inconsistent quarterback and offensive line play allowed defenses to stack the box and focus on slowing down Taylor. Now, the Colts enter 2026 without longtime starting right tackle Braden Smith, who departed in free agency, and there are depth concerns along the offensive line. 

Christian McCaffrey put together a historic 2025 season, playing all 17 games while racking up 2,126 yards from scrimmage and 17 total touchdowns, including 10 on the ground. 

But staying healthy has been a major concern throughout his career. In three of the five seasons prior to 2025, McCaffrey played seven games or fewer. After handling a massive workload last season, it will be difficult for him to replicate both that durability and production in 2026. With some regression likely after a remarkable 2025 campaign, take the Under on McCaffrey's rushing touchdown total. 

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