2024 Super Bowl LVIII odds: Can favored 49ers prevail in Super Bowl LVIII?
On Feb. 2, the San Francisco 49ers X (formerly Twitter) account posted a video of their highlights from the NFC Championship game against the Detroit Lions, with a simple message stating "Against All Odds" coupled with a pair of dice.
The message was clear. The 49ers were implying that all the odds had been stacked against them in their quest to reach Super Bowl LVIII.
The only problem with this sentiment is that nothing could be further from the truth!
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Literally.
For starters, the 49ers were the top seed in the NFC and favored at home in both the divisional and conference championship rounds. So the odds have been in their favor since the start of the postseason.
Even better than that, though, is the fact they were favored in every single game of the regular season as well.
Yep, you read that right. S.F. has been favored in each matchup from Week 1 all the way through to Super Bowl LVIII, which marks 20 consecutive games.
Ironically, the last (and only) team to accomplish this feat was the 2021 Kansas City Chiefs, who were favored in all 20 of their contests. Unfortunately for them, K.C. lost Super Bowl LV to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-9.
Perhaps San Francisco's X account is trying to ward off a similar fate by posing as an underdog?
Anything to get an edge, right?
Its smallest point spread was in the season opener (-1.5), a 30-7 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Its biggest upset loss was as a 9.5-point favorite against the Cleveland Browns in Week 6 (19-17).
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Here are the 49ers' weekly results, with the point spreads:
Week 1: Beat Steelers 30-7 (-1.5)
Week 2: Beat Rams 30-23 (-7.5)
Week 3: Beat Giants 30-12 (-10.5)
Week 4: Beat Cardinals 35-16 (-13.5)
Week 5: Beat Cowboys 42-10 (-3.5)
Week 6: Lost to Browns 19-17 (-9.5)
Week 7: Lost to Vikings 22-17 (-6.5)
Week 8: Lost to Bengals 31-17 (-4.5)
Week 9: BYE
Week 10: Beat Jaguars 34-3 (-3.5)
Week 11: Beat Buccaneers 27-14 (-13.5)
Week 12: Beat Seahawks 31-13 (-7.5)
Week 13: Beat Eagles 42-19 (-3.5)
Week 14: Beat Seahawks 28-16 (-14.5)
Week 15: Beat Cardinals 45-29 (-13.5)
Week 16: Lost to Ravens 33-19 (-6.5)
Week 17: Beat Commanders 27-10 (-14.5)
Week 18: Lost to Rams 21-20 (-5.5)
Divisional round: Beat Packers 24-21 (-10.5)
NFC Championship: Beat Lions 34-31 (-7.5)
Super Bowl LVIII: vs. Chiefs (-2.5)
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The 49ers are 9-10 against the spread (ATS) this season. The Chiefs are 12-7-1 ATS.
Emmanuel Acho, co-host of Speak, said San Francisco's run to the Super Bowl is more impressive, given the question marks the team faced a year ago after quarterback Brock Purdy tore the ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow.
"Before the season, most of us had to reserve our opinion on the Niners until what? Until we saw Brock Purdy play, because we didn't even know what Brock Purdy was going to be capable of doing or not be capable of doing," Acho said. "We didn't know if he was going to be able to throw the football.
" … For me, the Niners were still more impressive [this season than the Chiefs]."
Kansas City (14-6) was favored in its first 16 games, then was a 3.5-point underdog in the regular-season finale against the Los Angeles Chargers. Kansas City won 13-12 despite not playing Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and others.
The Chiefs were underdogs in their past two playoff games — +2.5 in the divisional round at the Buffalo Bills (27-24) and +4.5 in the AFC Championship Game at Baltimore (17-10).
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