Texas Tech-Ole Miss best bet, odds and how to bet

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-5, 5-4 Big 12) will face the Ole Miss Rebels (8-4, 4-4 SEC) in the TaxAct Texas Bowl at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX.

In the Red Raiders' first season under Joey McGuire, they finished their regular season on a high. They won three-straight games despite quarterback changes throughout the season due to injury. Texas Tech's last win of the season came in a 51-48 thriller over Oklahoma.

The Rebels didn't end their season on a good note. They dropped four of their last five games after starting the year 7-0 under Lane Kiffin. The Ole Miss running game has caused problems for opposing defenses all season, ranking 10th in yards per rush attempt (5.4). Leading the rushing attack was Quinshon Judkins, who rushed for 1,476 yards and 16 touchdowns this year.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the game between Texas Tech and Ole Miss, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert pick (odds via FOX Bet).

Read RJ Young's full list of 2022-23 bowl game predictions and odds

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Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss (9 p.m. ET Wednesday, Dec. 28, ESPN)

Point spread: Ole Miss -3.5 (Ole Miss favored to win by more than 3.5 points, otherwise Texas Tech covers)
Moneyline: Ole Miss -175 favorite to win (bet $10 to win $15.49 total); Texas Tech +135 underdog to win (bet $10 to win $23.50 total)
Total scoring Over/Under: 71.5 points scored by both teams combined

Pick via Gambling Analyst Sam Panayotovich:

It’s tough to bet Under here, but I’m doing it.

This total actually opened at O/U 65.5 when the bowl schedule was released, and here we are weeks later with the number up almost a full touchdown. The market move definitely makes sense, but betting Over 71.5 when you could’ve bet it at much lower numbers doesn’t.

Also, neither team played in a single game totaled in the 70s this year. I think Texas Tech will struggle to run the rock against Ole Miss’ front, and the best thing about shorting points in a game lined at 71.5 is that one bad stretch of offense is enough to cash your ticket.

I’ll sell high and take the Under.

PICK: Under 71.5 points scored by both teams combined at FOX Bet

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