AFC Conference Championship Odds: How to Bet on the Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

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The AFC Conference Championship brings a grind-it-out showdown as the Denver Broncos face the New England Patriots, with betting markets locked in on a game defined by defense and pressure. 

Both defenses can flip the game and make this a real slugfest. New England's unit has carried them through the postseason with timely stops and momentum-changing plays. The Broncos' defense is built for January football, they can make it very tough for Drake Maye and the Patriots offense.

Can Jarrett Stidham, making his first start in two years, lead Denver to the biggest stage? With a Super Bowl berth on the line, oddsmakers are spotlighting tight spreads, lower totals, and player markets that reflect how physical this matchup is expected to be.

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Game Odds & Stats

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How to Watch New England vs. Denver

• Game date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• TV: CBS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Patriots vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

• In their past two head-to-head meetings, New England has beaten Denver two times.
• Over their last two head-to-head contests, New England has put up 67 points, while Denver has accumulated 39.

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Patriots Betting Info

• Against the spread, New England went 11-6-0 during the regular season. It is 1-0-0 ATS in the postseason.
• The Patriots are 6-3 ATS this season (regular season and playoffs) when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites.
• In the regular season, 11 of New England's 17 games went over the point total. It is zero of one in terms of eclipsing the over/under in the playoffs.
• The Patriots went 10-1 in games they were favored on the moneyline during the regular season (winning 90.9% of those games). In the playoffs, they have a record of 1-0 when favored on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Patriots' implied win probability is 67.2%.

Broncos Betting Info

• Denver had seven wins in 17 games against the spread during the regular season and is 1-0-0 ATS in the postseason.
• The Broncos are yet to lose ATS (2-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or greater in the regular season and playoffs.
• Denver had seven of its 17 games hit the over during the regular season. It has exceeded the over in one of one playoff games.
• The Broncos won four of the five games in which they were underdogs during the regular season, and are 0-0 in the postseason.
• The Broncos have a 37.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

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